2024 Senate Elections (Ricky's Future Elections)

Background
This race coincided with Donald Trump's victory in the 2024 Presidential Election, which boosted Republican morale. This, on top of voter unhappiness with the Democratic party due to President Biden's low approval ratings caused a Republican surge in the Senate. This, along with the fact that there were a lot of vulnerable Democrats up for re-election, made most pollsters agree that Republicans would win the Senate, possibly expanding on their majority.

Results
Republicans won all of their seats, and managed to defeat incumbents Jon Tester in Montana and Kyrsten Sinema in Arizona. Democrats, while loosing seats in the Senate, were still able to defeat heavily swing seats including incumbents Jacky Rosen in Nevada, Tammy Baldwin in Wisconsin and Joe Manchin in West Virginia, as well as holding onto the open race in Michigan.

Arizona
Incumbent One Term Kyrsten Sinema ran for Re-Election to a second term. Sinema was challenged in the democratic primary by 2022 Governor Nominee and Arizona Secretary of State Katie Hobbs and US Representative Reuben Gallego. At first, Sinema comfortably lead in polls due to her opposition being split. However after Gallego withdrew from the race to run for re-election, the primary between Sinema and Hobbs was intense, with Sinema narrowly winning. On the Republican side, former Governor Doug Ducey won the Republican nomination against 2022 Senate Nominee Blake Masters.

California
Incumbent Democratic Senator Dianne Feinstein ran for re-election to a fifth term in office. In California's top 2 primary, Youtuber and 2021 California Gubernatorial Candidate Kevin Paffrath won the nomination to challenge Feinstein. Running as a centrist, Paffrath campaign very hard to defeat Feinstein, and was narrowly behind Feinstein throughout most of the Campaign. Paffrath attacked Feinstein for her old age whilst Feinstein attacked Paffrath based on lack of political experience. In the end however, Feinstein narrowly defeated Paffrath to win Re-election to a sixth term, although she would resign in 2028, and Paffrath would win a special election to replace her.

Connecticut
Incumbent Senator Chris Murphy won re-election to a third term, defeating former minority leader of the Connecticut house and 2022 Senate nominee Thomas Klarides.

Florida
Incumbent Rick Scott ran for re-election to a second term. Altough Scott was speculated to run for the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination, he instead chose to ran for re-election. The Democratic primary to challenge Scott was gruesome, with Former US Representative Stephanie Murphy narrowly beating out 2022 Nominee Val Demmings and Former Florida Commissioner of Agriculture Nikki Freid in the primary. Murphy campaigned hard against Scott. In the end, Scott won, by 3.3%, underperforming Donald Trump in Florida.

Delaware
Incumbent Senator Tom Carper decided to retire instead of running for a fifth term in office. US Representative Lisa Blunt Rochester won the Democratic primary unopposed and defeated Leanne Humphrey, a buisnesswoman in the general election.

Hawaii
Incumbent Senator Mazie Hirono won re-election to another term.

Indiana
Incumbent Senator Mike Braun won Re-election to a second term

Maine
Incumbent Senator Angus King retired instead of seeking a third term in office. Sara Gideon, the nominee for Senate in 2020, narrowly won the Democratic primary to replace him against Representative Jared Golden, meanwhile former Representative Bruce Poliquin won the Republican nomination unopposed. Although the race was originally close, with Poliquin leading in early polls, Gideon won by a 6 point margin, becoming the first Democratic Senator of Maine since George Mitchel's retirement in 1995.

Maryland
Incumbent Senator Ben Cardin won re-election to a fourth term in office, defeating Republican Robert Arlington.

Massachusetts
Incumbent Senator Elizabeth Warren won re-election to a third term, defeating Republican businessman John Hart.

Michigan
Incumbent Senator Debbie Stabenow decided to retire. The Democratic primary to replace her was intense, with US Representative Raishida Tlaib running from the progressive wing of the Democrats whilst US Representative Hailey Stevens ran as a more moderate Democrat. In the end, Tlaib won an upset victory over Stevens and defeated Comedian and politicial commentator Steven Crowder, who won the Republican primary without token opposition.

Minnesota
Incumbent Senator Amy Klobuchar ran for a third term in office. Klobuchar faced 2022 Gubernatorial nominee Scott Jensen in the general election. At first, the race was thought to be potentially competitive, as Jensen nearly won an upset victory in the 2022 Minnesota Gubernatorial Race. However, Jensen lost by a two to one margin.

Mississippi
Incumbent Senator Roger Wicker won Re-election to a second term

Missouri
Incumbent Senator Josh Hawley won re-election to a second term. Hawley would later resign to become United States Attorney General, and a special election would be held two years later.

Montana
Incumbent Senator Jon Tester ran for a fourth term in office. Tester faced US Representative Matt Rosendale in a rematch of the 2018 election. Although Tester won the previous election against Rosendale, Rosendale was able to defeat Tester to win his first term in office.

Nebraska
Incumbent Senator Deb Fischer won re-election to a third term

Nevada
Incumbent Senator Jacky Rosen won re-election to a second term. US Representative Mark Amodei won the Republican nomination easily against former Governor Mike Gibbons. In the General election, Rosen narrowly defeated Amodei, winning a second term.

New Jersey
Incumbent Senator Bob Menedez ran for re-election to a fourth term, defeating Republican State Senator Holly Schepisi by a unexpected 6 point margin. The race was classified as safe democrat by most pollsters, yet Menedez won significantly less of the vote than expected.

New Mexico
Incumbent Senator Martin Heinrich won re-election to a third term.

New York
Incumbent Senator Kirsten Gillibrand won re-election to a third term.

North Dakota
Incumbent Senator Kevin Cramer won re-election to a third term

Ohio
Incumbent Senator Sherrod Brown won re-election to a fourth term. Brown won the primary unopposed, while Matt Dolan won the nomination over farmer Joe Blystone. Despite Donald Trump carrying Ohio by 9 points, Brown won re-election, although Dolan would win his seat 6 years later.

Pennsylvania
Incumbent Senator Bob Casey Jr. won re-election to a fourth term. Casey won by a landslide margin, defeating 2022 Republican nominee and former State Senator Doug Mastriano.

Rhode Island
Incumbent Senator Sheldon Whitehouse decided to retire instead of running for re-election. Whitehouse was replaced by Democratic Secretary of the State Gina Raimondo.

Tennessee
Incumbent Senator Marsha Blackburn won re-election to a third term

Texas
Incumbent Senator Ted Cruz won re-election to a third term, defeating US Representative Colin Allred

Utah
Incumbent Senator Mitt Romney was running for re-election. Due to his opposition to president Trump, Romney was behind in the polls against Attorney General Sean Reyes and in January 2024, dropped out of the running. Reyes then went unopposed in the primary and won election to the Senate, defeating former US Representative Ben McAdams, who was unopposed in the primary.

Vermont
Incumbent Senator Bernie Sanders won re-election to a fourth term.

Virginia
Incumbent Senator Tim Kaine won re-election to a third term.

Washington
Incumbent Senator Maria Cantwell won re-election to a fifth term.

West Virginia
Incumbent Senator Joe Manchin won re-election to a third full term. Although Manchin was considered one of the most vulnerable Senators up for re-election, he ultimately won re-election with double digits, defeating Republican US Representative Alex Mooney.

Wisconsin
Incumbent US Senator Tammy Baldwin won re-election to a third term against former Governor Scott Walker.