2028 United States Senate Elections (Pear's Future III)

The 2028 United States Senate Elections occurred with the victory of Ron Desantis as President of the United States. Desantis' win over incumbent Democrat Kamala Harris helped the Republicans down ballot, as Republican across the nation did surprisingly well. Republicans, lead by Senator John Thune of South Dakota, went onto to hold their majority in the Senate over the Democrats, lead by retiring Senator Chuck Schumer of New York. Schumer was replaced as majority leader by Jeff Merkley of Oregon.

Following the 2026 Senate Elections, Republicans held a 53-47 seat majority in the Senate. However, when Senator Cory Booker of New Jersey resigned to become Vice President of the United States, Republican Governor Jack Ciaterelli had appointed Republican Simon Fraser to replace him, with Fraser winning the special election in November 2027 to serve out the rest of Booker's term. This meant that Republicans now held a 54-46 Seat majority in the Senate. Despite this, they continued to make gains, winning two open seats in Pennsylvania and New Hampshire, largely helped by Ron Desantis winning these states in the Presidential Election. Democrats on the other hand, were able to win the seat of Wisconsin, defeating incumbent Senator Ron Johnson. This was the first seat that Democrats had gained since John Fetterman won Pennsylvania 6 years back.

Following the elections, Republicans had a 55-45 majority in the Senate. However, a special election held in Iowa in November of 2029 following the resignation of Senator Joni Ernst triggered a special election that was won by Democrat Rob Sand. This meant that control later became 54-46 again until the 2030 Senate Elections.

Arizona
Incumbent Senator Mark Kelly ran for re-election to a second full term in office. Kelly faced former venture capitalist Blake Masters in a rematch of the 2022 elections. Although Arizona was seen as a swing state in the simultaneous Presidential election, Kelly's popularity made him the favourite for re-election. Masters, who had ran a conservative campaign in 2022, ran on a more moderate platform, which was seen as upsetting to some voters who found him as a grifter. Ultimately, Kelly decisively won the election, winning 52.5% of the vote to Master's 45.9%, despite Ron Desantis carrying Arizona by 4.2% on the Presidential level.

Democratic Primary
Nominee Eliminated in Primary
 * Mark Kelly, incumbent U.S. Senator since 2020
 * Diego Guezada, former California state senator (2015-2023) and candidate for Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction in 2026
 * Bob Whiller, attorney

Republican Primary
Nominee Eliminated in Primary
 * Blake Masters, former venture capitalist, nominee for the Senate in 2022 and candidate in 2024
 * Buddy Cross, former state senator (2017-2027)
 * Glenn Tyler, pastor and former CIA agent
 * Mike Roth, Arizona Secretary of State (2027-2031)
 * David Li, Member of the Arizona Corporation Commission (2027-2035)

Florida
Incumbent Senator Marco Rubio was originally running for re-election, but later decided that he would not run for another term in office. Repbublican Mayor Francis Suarez won the primary very narrowly in a field of 9 other candidates, while Democrats nominated former state representative Anna Eskamani. As former Governor Ron Desantis was running for President on the same ticket, Republicans were expected to easily win this once swing state. Suarez, a popular mayor, was able to appeal as a moderate and won handily while Eskamani's campaign was unable to keep up.

Republican Primary
Nominee Eliminated in Primary
 * Francis Suarez, former Mayor of Miami (2017-2025)
 * Terry Porter, President of the Florida Senate (2025-2029) and state senator from Jacksonville (2021-2029)
 * Byron Donalds, former U.S. Representative from Florida's 19th Congressional District (2021-2027) and candidate for Governor in 2026
 * Melissa Brunner, businessman
 * David Corden, Florida State Treasurer (2027-2031)
 * Brian Mast, U.S. Representative from Florida's 18th Congressional District (2017-2029)
 * Benjamin Taylor, neurosurgeon and former Florida department of Health (2026-2027)
 * Joe Davis, former state senator (2023-2027)
 * Craig James, Duval County Sherriff (2023-2027), former state representative (2021-2023) and chief of the Jacksonville Police department (2018-2021)

Democratic Primary
Nominee Eliminated in Primary
 * Anna Eskamani, state representative (2019-2029)
 * Josh Langevin, U.S. Representative from Florida's 22nd District (2027-2029)