2026 United States Governor Elections (Pear's Future III)

Alaska
Incumbent Governor Mike Dunleavy was term limited and unable to seek re-election to a third consecutive term. Democratic Representative Mary Peltola, Republican businessman Dan Blue, state Representative Charles Cox and Joe Horgan qualified for the general election in November. Although Alaska was a solidly Republican state, Peltola was a popular moderate with large name recognition throughout the State. She narrowly won the election against Blue, as both Cox and Horgan withdrew before the general election.

Republican Candidates
Advanced to General Withdrew before General Eliminated in Primary
 * Dan Blue, CEO of BlueGold Inc.
 * Running Mate: James Hardy, former Anchorage city councilor
 * Charles Cox, assistant whip of the Alaska house of Representatives
 * Running Mate: Jeff Daines, former state senator
 * Joe Horgan, state representative
 * Running Mate: Bob Cramer, former state representative
 * Nate Gibson, state senator

Democratic Candidates
Advanced to General
 * Mark Peltola, U.S. Representative from Alaska's at large district (2022-2027)

Independent
Eliminated in Primary Withdrew
 * Wal Waters, former Anchorage school board member
 * Bill Walker, former Governor of Alaska (2015-2019) (endorsed Peltola)

Arizona
Incumbent Governor Katie Hobbs, a Democrat, ran for re-election to a second term. A poll done in March of 2025 showed Hobbs with just a 41% approval rating, leading many doubt to her abilities to win re-election. Republican Karrin Taylor Robson, a former member of the Arizona Board of Regents, was the Republican nominee. Republicans were able to heavily capitalize on Hobbs' unpopularity and flip the governors mansion. This marked the first time an incumbent Arizona Governor lost re-election since 1966. Alongside Republicans winning the Governorship, Republicans also won every statewide race in Arizona except for the State Treasurer's race.

Democratic Primary
Nominee Declined
 * Katie Hobbs, incumbent Governor of Arizona (2023-2027) and former Arizona Secretary of State (2019-2023)
 * Greg Stanton, U.S. Representative from Arizona's 4th Congressional District and former Mayor of Phoenix
 * Reuben Gallego, former U.S. Representative from Arizona's 3rd Congressional District (2013-2025) and nominee for the Senate in 2024
 * Kyrsten Sinema, former Democrat turned Independent U.S. Senator (2019-2025)

Republican Primary
Nominee Eliminated in Primary
 * Karrin Taylor Robson, former member of the Arizona Board of Regents, real estate developer and candidate for Governor in 2022
 * Kari Lake, former News anchor and nominee for Governor in 2022
 * Howard Plane, businessman and solar power executive
 * Carl Hand, former state representative (2023-2025)

Florida
Incumbent Governor Ron Desantis was term limited and unable to seek re-election to a third consecutive term, announcing his intention to run for President of the United States in 2028 shortly after leaving office. U.S. Representative Maria Elvira Salazar won the Republican primary, while former state Agriculture Commissioner Nikki Fried won the Democratic primary. As Florida was seen as trending toward the Republicans, many expected Salazar to win the once competitive state. Salazar ultimately won by a 15-point landslide, showing the states trend to the right.

Republican Primary
Nominee Eliminated in Primary
 * Maria Elvira Salazar, U.S. Representative from Florida's 27th Congressional District (2021-2027)
 * Byron Donalds, U.S. Representative from Florida's 19th Congressional District (2021-2027)
 * Laura Loomer, far-right activist, perennial candidate

Democratic Primary
Nominee Eliminated in Primary Withdrew
 * Nikki Freid, former Agriculture Commissioner of Florida (2019-2023) and candidate for Governor in 2022
 * Joseph Hill, former state senator
 * John Palmer, member of the Miami City Council

Georgia
Incumbent Governor Brian Kemp was term limited and unable to seek re-election to a third term in office. Brad Raffensgerger, the Georgia Secretary of State, won the Republican Primary against Lieutenant Governor Burt Jones. Democrats nominated former Atlanta Mayor Kasim Reed. Due to growing demographics in the Atlanta Metro Area, many expected this race to be competitive, as with the Senate race occurring in the same ballot. Altough Democratic incumbent Senator Jon Ossoff was narrowly able to win re-election, Raffensberger was able to win by 5 points, largely due to Reed's lack of campaigning.

Republican Primary
The Republican Primary in Georgia was extremely aggressive, with several top name Republicans in the running. The race started in January of 2025 when former candidate for the Senate Hershel Walker filed paperwork to run for Governor. A week later, Raffensberger had a meeting with Republican officials talking about a potential bid for Governor, explaining "Hershel Walker will not win that race. We must do everything we can to stop his nomination, even if that means I jump into the race". Kelly Loeffler, a former U.S. Senator then announced her race in March, as did Vernon Jones. In April, both Walker and Purdue officially announced their campaigns. Burt Jones also announced he was running in May, leading a massive and divisive primary.

Polling initially showed Burt Jones the favorite, with Raffensberger narrowly behind. However, Raffensberger quickly gained the endorsement of many top Georgia officials, including Governor Kemp. Following Trump's endorsement of Vernon Jones, both Purdue and Walker withdrew from the race. On the May primary, Raffensberger avoided a runoff, beating the 3 Jones and Loeffler by a solid margin. Nominee Eliminated in Primary Withdrew
 * Brad Raffensberger, Georgia Secretary of State (2019-2027)
 * Burt Jones, Lieutenant Governor of Georgia (2023-2027)
 * Vernon Jones, former state representative, former CEO of DeKalb County and candidate for Governor in 2022
 * Kelly Loeffler, former U.S. Senator (2020-2021)
 * Fred Jones, farmer and former state senator (2013-2015)
 * David Purdue, former U.S. Senator (2015-2021)
 * Hershel Walker, former football player for the Georgia Bulldogs and nominee for the Senate in 2022

Democratic Primary
Nominee Eliminated in Primary
 * Kasim Reed, former Mayor of Atlanta (2010-2018)
 * James Kale, former state representative
 * Henry Russel, businessman
 * Deborah Rolland, community advocate
 * Brad Parson, bartender

Kansas
Incumbent Democratic Governor Laura Kelly was term limited and unable to seek re-election to a second term. Republican Representative Jake LaTurner won the Republican nomination, while Democrat Lieutenant Governor David Toland won the Democratic nomination. Due to Kansas' conservative lean, the race was expected to be a flip for the Republicans, with most polls showing the race "leans Republican". However, LaTurner won by a larger margin than expected, in an election where nationwide Republicans did very well.

Democratic Primary
Nominee
 * David Toland, Lieutenant Governor of Kansas (2023-2027)
 * Running Mate: Elizabeth Hartman, Professor at the University of Kansas and former attorney

Republican Primary
Nominee Eliminated in Primary
 * Jake LaTurner, U.S. Representative from Kansas 2nd Congressional District (2021-2027) and former Kansas State Treasurer (2017-2021)
 * Running mate: Josh Broil, state senator
 * Kris Kobach, Kansas Attorney General (2023-2027), former Kansas Secretary of State (2011-2019) and nominee for Governor in 2018
 * Running mate: John Ireland, state senator
 * Thomas Jorgen, former State Senator
 * Running mate: Joe Garcia, former state representative
 * Dennis Pyle, state senator and independent candidate for Governor in 2022
 * Running mate: Henry Graves, businessman

Michigan
Incumbent Democratic Governor Gretchen Whitmer was term limited and unable to seek a third term as Governor. Republicans nominated former Representative Peter Meijer, who was his parties nominee for Senate in 2024, won the Republican nomination, while Democrats nominated Garlin Gilchrist. The race was expected to be incredibly competitive, with Gilchrist leading in most polls. However, Meijer ultimately won in a large upset by a narrow margin.

Democratic Primary
Nominee Eliminated in Primary
 * Garlin Gilchrist, lieutenant Governor of Michigan (2019-2027)
 * Running mate: Elizabeth Crowne, former businessman
 * Joe Stranton, former state senator (2019-2025)
 * Shri Thanedar, U.S. Representative from Michigan's 13th Congressional District (2023-2027)
 * Dana Nessel, Michigan Attorney General (2019-2027)

Republican Primary
former Representative and nominee for the Senate in 2024 Peter Meijer was the early favourite in the race, having both name recognition from his pass campaigns and a strong fundraising number. However, he faced Republican John Gibbs in a rematch of the 2022 house race, as well as Detroit Police force captain James Craig. Nominee Eliminated in Primary
 * Peter Meijer, former U.S. Representative from Michigan's 3rd Congressional District (2021-2023) and nominee for the Senate in 2024
 * Running mate: Robert Santorum, state representative (2025-2027)
 * James Craig, former Chief of the Detroit Police Department (2013-2021) and candidate for Governor in 2021
 * John Gibbs, former Assistant Secretary of Housing and Urban Development for Community Planning and Development and software engineer

Minnesota
Incumbent Governor Tim Walz, a Democrat, did not run for re-election to a third term in office. Democrats nominated state Attorney General Keith Ellison, while Republicans nominated businessman Mike Lindell. Although Minnesota had a Democratic lean, Republicans saw this race as a potential flip, although Lindell's brand as a far right conservative was seen as hurting their chances. However, Ellison was also seen as unpopular, as a progressive in a moderate state. Despite Republicans winning flipping a couple of statewide offices in Minnesota that year, including flipping the senate seat in Minnesota, Ellison was narrowly able to win the election by a very narrow margin.

Democratic Primary
Nominee Eliminated in Primary Withdrew
 * Keith Ellison, Attorney General of Minnesota (2019-2027) and former U.S. Representative from Minnesota's 5th Congressional District (2007-2019)
 * Running Mate: Ilhan Omar, U.S. Representative from Minnesota's 5th Congressional District (2019-2027)
 * Peggy Flanagan, Lieutenant Governor of Minnesota (2019-2027)
 * Running mate: Martin Schrier, state senator (2021-2029)
 * Daniel Carter, former state representative (2019-2023) and businessman
 * Running mate: Reese Wallace, former state senator
 * Jacob Grey, former Mayor of Minneapolis (2018-2026)
 * Running mate: Alfred Tonks, former state senator (2023-2026)
 * Ilhan Omar, U.S. Representative from Minnesota's 5th Congressional District (2019-2027) (ran for lieutenant Governor)

Republican Primary
Nominee Eliminated in Primary
 * Mike Lindell, CEO of MyPillow and conservative commentator
 * Running mate: Jerry Kindler, state senator (2015-2027)
 * Peter Hartford, state senator (2019-2027)
 * Jeff Bartlett, former state representative (2013-2015)