2024 United State's Presidential Election (Pear's Future II)

The 2024 Presidential Election took place nationwide and saw the incumbent President Joe Biden, running in the Democratic ticket with incumbent Vice President Kamala Harris, defeat the Republican ticket of Donald Trump, a Republican, running with Congresswoman Marjorie Taylor Greene of Georgia.

Throughout his term, President Biden suffered from low approval ratings, due to rapid inflation and high drug and gas prices. Despite this, Republicans failed to capitalize off Biden's low approvals, as Trump's controversial figure and bad campaign presented him as an even more unpopular figure. His running mate, Marjorie Taylor Greene, was even more unpopular and controversial, and statements about the Nazis she made during a debate further tanked the Republican ticket. In the end, Trump performed worse than he did in 2020, flipping no states while also losing North Carolina by a narrow margin.

The Libertarian nominee, Lincoln Chafee, notably ran a strong campaign in the election. Chafee had campaigned as a moderate alternative, and the unpopularity of both Trump and Biden allowed him to have the best performance for any third party candidate since Ross Perot. Chafee, a former Governor and United States Senator from Rhode Island, ran with former Michigan congressman Justin Amash.

Arizona
Arizona, a competitive swing state that narrowly went to Biden in 2020, was seen as a crucial state for Trump to win if he wanted to win the Presidency. As such, Trump held a rally in Phoenix and campaign strongly there. Polls showed Trump narrowly leading the state, many attributing the lead to the unpopularity of Governor Katie Hobbs. Despite this, Biden won the state by more than 60,000 votes and 0.24%, a similar margin to his 2020 victory in the state, although slightly lower.

Florida
Florida, once a swing state, was seen a sign of the Republican strength in the 2024 elections. After Republicans swept every statewide office in 2022, many anticipated a strong performance by Trump in the sunshine state, signifying the states Republican trend. Florida did swing towards Trump, who improved his margin from 2020. However, the performance was disappointing for many Republicans.

Georgia
Georgia, the closest state of 2020, was expected to be a state targeted heavily by Trump. However, Trump largely ignored the State to instead target Wisconsin, Arizona and Nevada. This, along with Governor Brian Kemp endorsing Chafee, allowed Biden to increase his margin of victory since 2020, as well as Chafee being able to perform really well.

Michigan
After the 2020 census, Michigan's electoral vote count went down from 16 electoral votes to 15. Despite the drop, Michigan was seen as a crucial state to win by President Trump, who had carried the state in 2016 but lost it in 2020. Most polls had Biden with a double digit lead in the state, until Trump surged last minute. Despite this, Biden improved his margins from 2020, winning the state by 6 percentage points. Biden's victory was attributed but not entirely caused by the strong performance of Lincoln Chafee, the libertarian candidate who's running mate, Justin Amash, represented the Grand Rapids area for a decade from 2011 to 2021.

Nevada
Nevada was heavily targeted by Republicans, due to it's large number of swing house districts, a vulnerable senate seat and Republican shifts in Clarke County, home of Las Vegas and home to 60% of the states population. Trump rallied with Governor Joe Lombardo in many rallies, with most polls showing Trump handily winning the state by up to 6 points. However, Trump ended up losing the state by less than 3,000 votes, with Nevada being the closest state in the entire election.

New Hampshire
New Hampshire, a very libertarian state, voted for President Biden by a solid margin. New Hampshire also housed the strongest performance by Lincoln Chafee in any state in this election, largley due to endorsements from former President of the New Hampshire Senate Chuck Morse, Governor Chris Sununu, former United States Senator Kelly Ayotte and other notable Republicans across the state.